Abstract
This pilot study aimed to evaluate the effects of extremely hot ambient temperatures on the total number of fatal injuries. Data were collected from a population-based mortality registry of Thanh Hoa, a province in the North Central region of Vietnam. This study qualified the distributed lag non-linear model and calculated the RR and 95% CI adjusted for long-term trend and absolute humidity. For the entire study population with 3,949 registered deaths due to injuries collected during 2005-2007, after the onset of extremely hot ambient temperatures, an increased risk of death was observed on the 9th day RR (95% CI) = 1.44 (1.06–1.97) and reached the peak on the 12th day RR (95% CI) = 1.58 (1.14–2.17), and at the 15th day RR (95% CI) = 1.49 (1.08–2.06). Men and old adults were identified as the most vulnerable groups. This study confirmed a positive association between hot temperatures and injury-related deaths in the province of 3.6 million people. The findings motivated further investigation into the effect of warm climate changes and the risk of deaths related to other specific causes such as road traffic, work-related injury, and etc.
References
1. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate change 2021: the physical science basis. Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; 2021.
2. Hajat S, Kovat RS, Atkinson RW, Haines A. Impact of hot temperatures on death in London: a time series approach. J Epidemiol Community Health. 2022; 56 (5): 367-72. DOI: 10.1136/jech.56.5.367
3. Vaneckova P, Bambrick H. Cause-specific hospital admissions on hot days in Sydney, Australia. PLoS ONE. 2013; 8 (2): e55459. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0055459
4. Bettaieb J, Toumi A, Leffondre K, Chlif S, Salah AB. High temperature effect on daily all-cause mortality in Tunis 2005–2007. Rev Epidemiol Sante Publique. 2020; 68 (1): 37-43. DOI: 10.1016/j.respe.2019.09.007
5. Desai VK, Wagle S, Rathi SK, Patel U, Desai HS, Khatri K. Effect of ambient heat on all-cause mortality in the coastal city of Surat, India. Current Science. 2015; 109 (9): 1680–1686.
6. Yang J, Yin P, Zhou M, Ou CQ, Guo Y, Gasparrni A, et al. Cardiovascular mortality risk attributable to ambient temperature in China. Heart. 2015; 101 (24): 1966-1972. DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl2015-308062
7. Moghadamnia MT, Ardalan A, Mesdaghinia A, Keshtkar A, Naddafi K, Yekaninejad MS. Ambient temperature and cardiovascular mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PeerJ. 2017; 5: e3574. DOI: 10.7717/peerj.3574
8. Chai G, He H, Su Y, Sha Y, Zong S. Lag effect of air temperature on the incidence of respiratory diseases in Lanzhou, China. Int J Biometeorol. 2020; 64: 83-93. DOI: 10.1007/s00484-019-01795-x
9. Kouis P, Kakkkoura M, Ziogas K, Paschalidou AK, Papatheodorou S. The effect of ambient air temperature on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Thessaloniki, Greece. Sci Total Environ. 2019; 647: 1351-1358. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.08.106
10. Gasparrini A, Armstrong B, Kenward MG. Distributed lag non-linear models. Stat Med. 2010; 29 (21): 2224–2234. DOI: 10.1002/ sim.3940
11. Yin X, Li D, Zhu K, Liang X, Peng S, Tan A, et al. Comparison of intentional and unintentional injuries among Chinese children and adolescents. J Epidemiol. 2020; 30 (12): 529-536. DOI: 10.2188/jea.JE20190152
12. The World Bank. The World Bank in Vietnam. Hanoi: The World Bank; 2023.
13. Nguyen QA, Nguyen TH, Beardsley J, Castle CD, Dang AK, Dingels ZV, et al. Burden of injuries in Vietnam: emerging trends from a decade of economic achievement. Inj Prev. 2020; 26: i75–82. DOI: 10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043352
14. The World Bank. Mortality caused by road traffic injury - Vietnam. Hanoi: The World Bank; 2019.
15. Miles-Novelo A, Anderson CA. Climate change and psychology: Effects of rapid global warming on violence and aggression. Curr Clim Change Rep. 2019; 5: 36-46. DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00121-2
16. Noelke C, McGovern M, Corsi DJ, Jimenez MP, Stern A, Wng S, et al. Increasing ambient temperature reduces emotional well-being. Environ Res. 2016; 151: 124-129. DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2016.06.045
17. Stevens HR, Beggs PJ, Graham PL, Chang HC. Hot and bothered? Associations between temperature and crime in Australia. Int J Biometeorol. 2019; 63: 747-762. DOI: 10.1007/s00484-019-01689-y
18. Grjibovski AM, Kozhakhmetova G, Kosbayeva A, Menne B. Associations between air temperature and daily suicide counts in Astana, Kazakhstan. Medicina (Kaunas). 2013; 49 (8): 379-385.
19. Hong TT, Phuong Hoa N, Walker SM, Hill PS, Rao C. Completeness and reliability of mortality data in Viet Nam: Implications for the national routine health management information system. PLoS ONE. 2018; 13 (1): e0190755. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0190755
20. Stevenson MR, Ngoan LT, Hung DV, Tu TH, Mai AL, Ivers RQ, et al. Evaluation of the Vietnamese A6 mortality reporting system: Injury as a cause of death. Inj Prev. 2012; 18 (6): 360-364. DOI: 10.1136/injuryprev-2011-040261
21. National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasting. Weather for Location. Ha Noi City: Vietnam Meteorological and Hydrological Administration; 2023.
22. Wang Q, Gao C, Liu H, Li W, Zhao Y, Xu G, et al. Hypertension modifies the short-term effects of temperature on morbidity of hemorrhagic stroke. Sci Total Environ. 2017; 598: 198-203. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.04.159
23. Lam HC, Li AM, Chan EY, Goggins WB. The short-term association between asthma hospitalisations, ambient temperature, other meteorological factors and air pollutants in Hong Kong: A time-series study. Thorax. 2016; 71 (12): 1097-1109. DOI: 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2015-208054
24. Sharafkhani R, Khanjani N, Bakhtiari B, Jahani Y, Tabrizi JS. Physiological equivalent temperature index and mortality in Tabriz (The northwest of Iran). J Therm Biol. 2018; 71: 195-201. DOI: 10.1016/j.jtherbio.2017.11.012
25. Wood SN. Generalized additive models: an introduction with R. 2nd ed. Boca Raton: Chapman and Hall/CRC; 2017. DOI: 10.1201/9781315370279
26. Kim CT, Lim YH, Woodward A, Kim H. Heat-attributable deaths between 1992 and 2009 in Seoul, South Korea. PLoS One. 2015; 10 (2): e0118577. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0118577
27. Sheng R, Li C, Wang Q, Yang L, Bao J, Wang K, et al. Does hot weather affect work-related injury? A case-crossover study in Guangzhou, China. Int J Hyg Environ Health. 2018; 221 (3): 423-428. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijheh.2018.01.005
28. Otte im KE, Kovats S, Hajat S. Impact of high ambient temperature on unintentional injuries in high-income countries: A narrative systematic literature review. BMJ Open. 2016; 6: e010399. DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010399
29. Karthick S, Kermanshachi S, Pamidimukkala A. Impact analysis of heat on physical and mental health of construction workforce. In: International Conference on Transportation and Development 2022. Seattle, Washington: American Society of Civil Engineers; 2022. p. 290-298.
30. Cianconi P, Betrò S, Janiri L. The impact of climate change on mental health: A systematic descriptive review. Front Psychiatry. 2020; 11: 74. DOI: 10.3389/fpsyt.2020.00074
31. Sorenson SB. Gender Disparities in Injury Mortality: Consistent, Persistent, and Larger Than You’d Think. Am J Public Health. 2011; 101 Suppl 1 (Suppl 1): S353-358. DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2010.300029
32. Stangor C, Jhangiani R, Tarry H. Principles of social psychology. 1st international edition. Vancouver: BCcampus OpenEd; 2014.
33. Yang J, Zhou M, Ren Z, et al. Projecting heat-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios in China. Nat Commun. 2021; 12 (1): 1039. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-21305-1
Recommended Citation
Nguyen MT , Nguyen MV , Le HV ,
et al.
Extremely Hot Ambient Temperature and Injury-related Mortality.
Kesmas.
2023;
18(2):
130-136
DOI: 10.21109/kesmas.v18i2.6645
Available at:
https://scholarhub.ui.ac.id/kesmas/vol18/iss2/7