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Abstract

This research analyzes the 35,000 MW Program’s impact on employment and poverty levels in Indonesia using the Callaway and Sant’Anna Difference-in-Differences (CSDID) method. The research uses panel data at the district/city level from 2007 to 2022. The analysis shows the program has a significant impact on reducing poverty, with an average reduction of 5,208 poor people in Model 1; 4,277 people in Model 2; and 4,284 people in Model 3. Based on a subset of regions, the analysis shows the program had a significant impact on increasing the employment rate by 1.2 percent, reducing 16,034 poor people in the Java-Madura-Bali.

Bahasa Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis dampak Program 35.000 MW terhadap tingkat pekerjaan dan kemiskinan di Indonesia menggunakan metode Callaway and Sant’Anna Difference-in-Differences (CSDID). Penelitian menggunakan balanced data panel pada level kabupaten/kota di Indonesia dalam kurun waktu 2007 hingga 2022. Hasil analisis menunjukkan Program 35.000 MW berdampak signifikan mengurangi jumlah penduduk miskin dengan rata-rata penurunan sebesar 5.208 orang miskin pada Model 1; 4.277 orang miskin pada Model 2; dan 4.284 orang miskin pada Model 3. Berdasarkan subset wilayah, hasil analisis menunjukkan Program 35.000 MW berdampak signifikan terhadap peningkatan tingkat pekerjaan sebesar 1,2 persen dan penurunan jumlah penduduk miskin sebesar 16.034 orang di wilayah Jawa-Madura-Bali.

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