"Studi Komparasi Kesiapan Indonesia Menerapkan Carbon Trade 2025" by Muhammad Rayhan Ali Ferdiansyah, Hanif Rosyadah et al.
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Abstract

This study aims to assess Indonesia’s readiness to implement carbon trading in 2025 to achieve net zero emissions by 2060. The research uses a mixed-method approach, combining literature review, multivariate linear regression, and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The results indicate that the Human Development Index (HDI) has a negative and significant impact on CO2 emissions in the long term. This impact is greater than the results observed in Singapore and Thailand. With established policies and a demographic bonus in 2045, optimizing human resources is crucial for achieving net zero emissions by 2060.

Bahasa Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat kesiapan Indonesia dalam mengimplementasi perdagangan karbon pada tahun 2025 untuk menyongsong net zero emission pada tahun 2060. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode mixed-method dengan menggabungkan literature review, regresi linier berganda, dan Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap emisi CO2 dalam jangka panjang. Hasil ini lebih tinggi daripada hasil yang diperoleh pada studi di Singapura dan Thailand. Dengan kebijakan yang sudah siap dan bonus demografi di tahun 2045, potensi sumber daya manusia perlu dioptimalkan untuk mencapai net zero emission di tahun 2060.

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