"Analisis Pengaruh Kualitas Institusi Politik terhadap Konsentrasi PM2." by Afif Dhia Pratama and Dwi Rahmayani
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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of political institutional quality, proxied by democracy, political globalization, and good governance, on PM2.5 concentration in G20 countries as well as prove the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) Hypothesis and Pollution Halo Hypothesis (PHH) from 1998 to 2022. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method is employed in this analysis. The results show that democracy reduces PM2.5 concentration only in the long run. However, good governance decreases PM2.5 concentration in the short term but increases it in the long run. Political globalization shows no significant influence on PM2.5 concentration. Furthermore, the study also revealed that the EKC hypothesis is proven, but the PHH is not proven.

Bahasa Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh kualitas institusi politik yang diproksi dari demokrasi, globalisasi politik, dan good governance terhadap konsentrasi PM2.5 di negara G20, serta membuktikan hipotesis Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) dan Pollution Halo Hypothesis (PHH) dari tahun 1998–2022. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) merupakan metode analisis penelitian ini. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa demokrasi dapat menurunkan konsentrasi PM2.5 hanya pada jangka panjang. Namun, good governance menurunkan konsentrasi PM2.5 pada jangka pendek dan meningkatkannya pada jangka panjang. Globalisasi politik menunjukkan tidak adanya pengaruh terhadap konsentrasi PM2.5. Lebih lanjut, penelitian ini juga menunjukkan bahwa hipotesis EKC terbukti pada jangka panjang, tetapi PHH tidak terbukti, baik jangka panjang maupun pendek.

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