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Abstract

Natural disasters are a problem for a country’s economy. This research aims to analyze the influence of natural disasters, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF), Human Development Index (HDI), and Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) on the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) of 31 Provinces in Indonesia from 2011 to 2023. Research method uses panel data regression with Fixed Effect Model estimation. The results of this research show that GFCF and HDI can increase value GRDP in Indonesia. LFPR does not have a significant effect in a positive direction on GRDP in Indonesia and natural disasters do not have a significant effect in a negative direction.

Bahasa Abstract

Bencana alam menjadi masalah bagi perekonomian suatu negara. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh bencana alam, Pembentukan Modal Tetap Bruto (PMTB), Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM), dan Tingkat Partisipasi Angkatan Kerja (TPAK) terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) 31 provinsi di Indonesia pada tahun 2011 sampai 2023. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode regresi data panel dengan estimasi Fixed Effect Model. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa PMTB dan IPM dapat meningkatkan nilai PDRB di Indonesia. Selain itu, TPAK tidak berpengaruh signifikan dengan arah positif terhadap PDRB di Indonesia dan bencana alam tidak berpengaruh signifikan dengan arah negatif.

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