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Abstract

Optimizing demographic dividend requires human capital quality improvement. However, disparities in the quality of human capital between regions in East Java becoming challenge in increasing GRDP per capita growth before demographic bonus period ends. This research analyze the effect of human capital quality on GRDP per capita growth during 2011–2022 period generally in East Java Province and specifically in districts/cities with low human capital quality. Dynamic panel data regression analysis using the First-Difference Generalized Moment Method (FD-GMM) was used in this research. The research results show a significant influence of the quality of human capital on GDP per capita growth.

Bahasa Abstract

Dalam mengoptimalkan bonus demografi diperlukan peningkatan kualitas modal manusia. Namun, disparitas kualitas modal manusia antarwilayah di Jawa Timur menjadi tantangan dalam meningkatkan pertumbuhan PDRB per kapita sebelum masa bonus demografi berakhir. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh kualitas modal manusia terhadap pertumbuhan PDRB per kapita pada periode 2011–2022 secara umum di Provinsi Jawa Timur, serta spesifik pada kabupaten/kota dengan kualitas modal manusia rendah. Analisis regresi data panel dinamis dengan metode First-Difference Generalized Moment Method (FD-GMM) digunakan pada penelitian ini. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan pengaruh signifikan dari kualitas modal manusia terhadap pertumbuhan PDRB per kapita.

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