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Abstract

The effectiveness of minimum wages is still debated, even though minimum wage regulation increases worker’s wages, yet it causes “disemployment effect”. This study aims to identify differences in minimum wages impact on probabilities out of formal sector for unskilled and skilled workers. The type of skill used is based on job classification. Using Sakernas data in August 2010 and 2015, probit regression was conducted to estimate minimum wages impact on probabilities out of formal sector on skilled and unskilled workers. Based on analysis, minimum wage on probability of exit from formal sector is higher for unskilled workers than skilled workers.

Bahasa Abstract

Efektivitas penerapan upah minimum masih diperdebatkan, karena meskipun upah minimum meningkatkan upah pekerja, namun di sisi lain dapat menyebabkan “disemployment effect”. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengidentifikasi perbedaan dampak upah minimum terhadap probabilitas keluar dari sektor formal pada tenaga kerja tidak terampil dan terampil. Tipe keterampilan yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini berdasarkan klasifikasi jenis pekerjaan. Dengan menggunakan data Sakernas Agustus 2010 dan 2015, penelitian ini menggunakan regresi probit untuk mengestimasi dampak upah minimum terhadap probabilitas keluar dari sektor formal pada tenaga kerja terampil dan tidak terampil. Hasil yang diperoleh adalah dampak upah minimum terhadap probabilitas keluar dari sektor formal lebih tinggi pada tenaga kerja tidak terampil dibandingkan tenaga kerja terampil.

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