•  
  •  
 

Abstract

The implication of ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) in 2015 is free mobilization of goods, services, labours, and capital among the member countries. This encourages Indonesia to strengthen its commitments on the construction service sector. This study aims to map Indonesia's commitments in the construction service sector under the ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) with Hoekman Index and investigates the impacts on the macroeconomic and sector performances. The GTAP model analysis shows that Indonesia does not gain from the service liberalization, there is only slight increase of macroeconomic and sector performance. A 50% or full liberalization cause few increase on the real GDP. Positive impact of liberalization is only seen in the construction sector itself.

Bahasa Abstract

Implikasi terbentuknya Masyarakat Ekonomi ASEAN tahun 2015 adalah kawasan ASEAN akan menjadi suatu kawasan bebas mobilisasi barang, jasa, investasi, tenaga kerja, dan arus modal. Kondisi ini mendorong peningkatan komitmen Indonesia, salah satunya di sektor jasa konstruksi. Studi ini bertujuan memetakan posisi komitmen sektor jasa konstruksi Indonesia di AFAS berdasarkan indeks Hoekman dan menganalisis dampak peningkatan komitmen tersebut. Hasil analisis GTAP menunjukkan bahwa Indonesia belum memperoleh manfaat dari adanya implementasi komitmen tersebut. Hal ini ditunjukkan dengan peningkatan yang relatif kecil terhadap indikator ekonomi makro dan sektoral Indonesia. Liberalisasi 50% maupun penuh hanya menyebabkan peningkatan PDB riil yang kecil. Dampak sektoral hanya tampak pada peningkatan di sektor konstruksi sendiri.

References

[1] ADB. (2008). Asian Development Outlook 2008: Workers in Asia. Manila: Asian Development Bank. http://www.adb.org/sites/default/ files/publication/27707/ado2008.pdf (Diakses 18 Maret 2013).

[2] Andreosso-O'Callaghan, B., & Uprasen, U. (2008). Impact of the 5th EU Enlargement on ASEAN. Ireland: Euro-Asia Centre (EAC), Departement of Economics, Kemmy Business School, University of Limerick. http://www.ecomod.net/sites/default/files/ document-conference/ecomod2008/692.pdf (Diakses 12 Januari 2012).

[3] Andriamananjara, S., Ferrantino, M., & Tsigas, M. (2003). Alternative Approaches in Estimating the Economic Effects of Non-Tariff Measures: Results from Newly Quantified Measures. Office of Economics Working Paper. U.S. International Trade Commission, 2003-12-C. Washington D. C. www.usitc.gov/publications/332/ ec200312c.pdf (Diakses 17 Februari 2013).

[4] Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. (1999). Global Trade Reform: Maintaining Momentum. Canberra: Commonwealth of Australia.

[5] Brockmeier, M. (1996). A Graphical Exposition of the GTAP Model. GTAP Technical Paper, 8. West Lafayette, IN: Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University. https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/ resources/res_display.asp?RecordID=311 (Diakses 18 Maret 2013).

[6] Dee, P. (2003). Services Trade Liberalisation in South East European Countries, mimeo prepared for OECD.

[7] Dee, P. (2004). Measuring the Cost of Regulatory Restrictions on Services Trade in Malaysia, background report for a study on Improving the Investment Climate Regulatory Burden in Malaysia. Washington, D.C.: World Bank for the Economic Planning Unit of Malaysia.

[8] Francois, J. (1999). Estimates of Barriers to Trade in Services. Erasmus University, Unpublished manuscript.

[9] Hertel, T. W. (1997). Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications. Cambridge University Press.

[10] Hertel, T. W., & Tsigas, M. E. (1997). Structure of GTAP, in Hertel, T. W. (ed.), Global Trade Analysis Modeling and Applications. New York: Cambridge University Press. pp. 13-73.

[11] Hoekman, B. (1995). Assessing the General Agreement on Trade in Services, in Will Martin and L. Alan Winters (eds.), The Uruguay Round and the Developing Countries, World Bank Discussion Paper No. 307. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank. Revised version published in Martin and Winters (eds.), Cambridge University Press, 1996.

[12] Hoekman, B., & Braga, C. A. P. (1997). Protection and Trade in Services: A Survey. Open Economies Review, 8 (3), 285-308.

[13] Ishido, H. (2011). Liberalization of Trade in Ser- vices Under ASEAN+n: A Mapping Exercise. ERIA Discussion Paper Series, ERIA-DP-2011- 02. Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia. www.eria.org/ERIA-DP-2011-02.pdf (Diakses 18 Nopember 2013).

[14] Kementerian Perdagangan. (2013). Kajian Tinjauan Ulang Pemanfaatan Kerjasama IJEPA pada Sektor Jasa Indonesia. Laporan Kajian (Tidak dipublikasikan). Jakarta: Pusat Kebijakan Kerjasama Perdagangan Internasional, Kementerian Perdagangan.

[15] Mikiz, M. (2009). Liberalizing Trade in Services in ASEAN. United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UN ESCAP).

[16] Oktaviani, R., & Puspitawati, E. (2008). Teori, Model, dan Aplikasi GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project) di Indonesia. Bogor: Departemen Ilmu Ekonomi, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor.

[17] Robinson, S., Yunez-Naude, A., Hinojosa-Ojeda, R., Lewis, J. D., & Devarajan, S. (1999). From Stylized to Applied Models: Building Multisector CGE Models for Policy Analysis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 10 (1), 5-38.

[18] Schott, J. J., Lee, M., & Muir, J. (2012). Prospects for Services Trade Negotiations. ADB Economic Working Paper Series, 319. Manila: Asian Development Bank. http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/ publication/30045/economics-wp319.pdf (Diakses 20 Mei 2013).

[19] Stern, R. M. (2000). Quantifying Barriers to Trade in Services. Research Seminar in International Economics, Discussion Paper, 470. Michigan: School of Public Policy, The University of Michigan. http://www.fordschool.umich.edu/ rsie/workingpapers/Papers451-475/r470.pdf (Diakses 17 Agustus 2013).

[20] World Bank. (2012). Data: Indicators. http:// data.worldbank.org/indicator (Diakses 28 Juni 2013).

Download

Included in

Economics Commons

Share

COinS
 
 

To view the content in your browser, please download Adobe Reader or, alternately,
you may Download the file to your hard drive.

NOTE: The latest versions of Adobe Reader do not support viewing PDF files within Firefox on Mac OS and if you are using a modern (Intel) Mac, there is no official plugin for viewing PDF files within the browser window.