Abstract
This paper aims to analyze the effect of poverty on migration by using the IFLS 2000 and 2007 data. The results of binary and multinomial logistic regressions on all adults, adults in urban areas, and adults in rural areas show that the poor are less likely to migrate than the non-poor except for the case of urban to urban migration, where the poor are more likely to migrate than the non-poor. The results for other economic characteristics such as total value of assets and land ownership for farming consistently show that better economic conditions lower the probability to migrate.
Bahasa Abstract
Studi ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh kemiskinan terhadap migrasi dengan menggunakan sampel individu 15 tahun ke atas dari data Survei Aspek Kehidupan Rumah Tangga Indonesia (SAKERTI) tahun 2000 dan 2007. Hasil regresi logistik biner dan multinomial menunjukkan bahwa untuk semua individu, baik individu di perkotaan maupun di perdesaan, peluang orang miskin untuk bermigrasi lebih kecil daripada yang tidak miskin. Namun, untuk individu di perkotaan, ditemukan bahwa peluang orang miskin untuk bermigrasi dari perkotaan ke perkotaan lebih besar dibanding yang tidak miskin. Hasil regresi untuk karakteristik ekonomi lainnya seperti total nilai aset dan kepemilikan lahan pertanian menunjukkan bahwa kondisi ekonomi yang lebih baik menurunkan probabilitas bermigrasi.
References
[1] BPS. (2000). Statistik Indonesia Tahun 2000. Jakarta: Badan Pusat Statistik.
[2] BPS. (2010a). Sensus Penduduk Tahun 2010. http://sp2010.bps.go.id/ (Accessed December 12, 2013).
[3] BPS. (2010b). Statistik Indonesia Tahun 2010. Jakarta: Badan Pusat Statistik.
[4] Bernard, A., & Bell, M. (2012). A Comparison of Internal Migration Age Profile Smoothing Methods. Queensland Centre for Population Research Working Paper, 2012/01. Australia: School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management. The University of Queensland. http://gpem.uq.edu.au/qcpr-docs/QCPR_ WP_2012_01.pdf (Accessed July 2, 2014).
[5] Biddle, N., & Hunter, B. (2006). An Analysis of the Internal Migration of Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Australians. Australian Journal of Labour Economics, 9 (4), 321-341.
[6] Borjas, G. (2000). Economics of Migration. International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences Section No. 3.4, Article No. 38. Cambridge, MA: Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University.
[7] Friedli, E. (1986). Migration of the Poor. Population Research and Policy Review, 5 (1), 47-61.
[8] Gibson, J., & Mckenzie, D. (2011). How Can Developing Country Governments Facilitate International Migration for Poverty Reduction? In E. Murrugarra, J. Larrison, & M. Sasin (Eds.), Migration and Poverty: Toward Better Opportunnities for the Poor, pp. 125-143. Washington, DC: World Bank. http:// siteresources.worldbank.org/DEC/Resources/ MigrationforPolicyReductionv3.pdf (Accessed March 18, 2014).
[9] Gould, W. T. S. (2009). Population and Development. Routledge Perspectives on Development. New York: Routledge.
[10] Greenwood, M. J. (1997). Internal Migration in Developed Countries. In M. R. Rosenzweig & O. Stark (Eds). Handbook of Population and Family Economics, Volume 1, Part B, Chapter 12, pp. 647-720. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
[11] Gujarati, D. N. (2009). Basic Econometrics, 5th Ed. New York: McGraw Hill Inc.
[12] Hampshire, K. (2002). Fulani on the Move: Seasonal Economic Migration in the Sahel as a Social Process. Journal of Development Studies, 38 (5), 15-36.
[13] Harris, J. R., & Todaro, M. P. (1970). Migration, Unemployment and Development: A Two Sector Analysis. The American Economic Review, 60 (1), 126-142.
[14] ILO. (2004). Migrasi: Peluang dan Tantangan Program Strategi Pengentasan Kemiskinan (PRSP) di Indonesia. Seri Rekomendasi Kebijakan: Kerja Layak dan Penanggulangan Kemiskinan di Indonesia. Jakarta: Kantor Perburuhan Internasional. http://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/ ---asia/---ro-bangkok/---ilo-jakarta/ documents/publication/wcms_125291.pdf (Accessed November 22, 2014).
[15] Lee, E. S. (1966). A Theory of Migration. Demography, 3 (1), 47-57.
[16] Murrugarra, E., Larrison, J., & Sasin, M. (Eds.) (2011). Migration and Poverty: Toward Better Opportunities for the Poor. Washington, DC: World Bank.
[17] Nachrowi, N., & Usman, H. (2002). Penggunaan Teknik Ekonometri. Jakarta: Rajagrafindo Persada.
[18] Pardede, E. L., & Listya, R. (2013). Do They Look for Informal Jobs?: Migration of the Working Age in Indonesia. Working Paper in Econo- mics and Business, Volume III No. 8/2013. Depok: Faculty of Economics, Universitas Indonesia. http://econ.fe.ui.ac.id/uploads/201308. pdf (Accessed February 17, 2014).
[19] Ravenstein, E. G. (1885). The Laws of Migration. Journal of the Statistical Society of London, 48 (2), 167-235.
[20] Sjastaad, L. A. (1962). The Costs and Returns of Human Migration. The Journal of Political Economy, 70 (5), Part 2: Investment in Human Beings, 80-93.
[21] Stark, O. (1991). The Migration of Labor. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Basil Blackwell, Inc.
[22] Stark, O., & Taylor, J. E. (1989). Relative Deprivation and International Migration. Demography, 26 (1), 1-14.
[23] Stark, O., & Taylor, J. E. (1991). Relative Deprivation and Migration: Theory, Evidence, and Policy Implications. Policy, Research, and External Affairs. Welfare and Human Resources Working Papers, WPS 656. Population and Human Resources, Department and Agriculture and Rural Development Department, The World Bank.
[24] Suryahadi, A., Hadiwidjaja, G., & Sumarto, S. (2012). Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction in Indonesia Before and After the Asian Financial Crisis. SMERU Working Paper, June 2012. http://www.smeru.or.id/report/workpaper/ econgrow2/econgrow2.pdf (Accessed November 22, 2014)
[25] Timmer, P.,Weisbrod, J., & McCulloch, N. (2006). The Pathways out of Poverty in Rural Indonesia: An Empirical Assessment. Conference Paper. Research Committee Development Economics, 29. Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Berlin 2006 / Verein fur Socialpolitik. Berlin: Econstor. http://econstor.eu/ bitstream/10419/19854/1/Weisbrod.pdf (Accessed March 18, 2014)
[26] Vanwey, L. K. (2003). Land Ownership as a Determinant of Temporary Migration in Nang Rong, Thailand. European Journal of Population, 19 (2), 121-145.
[27] Wodon, Q., Angel-Urdinola, D., Gonzalez-Konig, G., Revah, D. O., & Siaens, C. (2003). Migration and Poverty in Mexico's Southern States. MPRA Paper, 10574. Munich University Library in Germany: Munich Personal RePEc Archive. http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/10574/ 1/MPRA_paper_10574.pdf (Accessed March 18, 2014).
[28] Zelinsky, W. (1971). The Hypothesis of the Mobility Transition. Geographical Review, 61 (2), 219-249.
[29] Zhu, N., & Luo, X. (2014). The Impact of Migration on Rural Poverty and Inequality: A Case Study in China. Centre Universitaire de Recherche en Analyse des Organisations: Scientific Series, January 2014.
Recommended Citation
Nabila, Aulia and Pardede, Elda L.
(2014)
"Kemiskinan dan Migrasi: Analisis Data SAKERTI 2000 dan 2007,"
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia: Vol. 14:
No.
2, Article 4.
DOI: 10.21002/jepi.v14i2.04
Available at:
https://scholarhub.ui.ac.id/jepi/vol14/iss2/4