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Abstract

This study contributes to the existing literature by examining energy consumption, energy intensity and its determinants in Indonesia's aggregate and sectoral economy. Index Ideal Fisher uses to decompose two key determinants of changes in energy intensity - efficiency improvements and changes in economic activity - to analyze which determinant is more important in driving improvements in energy intensity. VAR/VECM analysis is used to determine which economic variables affect the aggregate intensity. The study found that energy intensity increased gradually. The main contributing factor in the national level is the changes in economic activity, while in the sectoral level is efficiency effect.

Bahasa Abstract

Studi ini memperkaya kajian energi di Indonesia dengan menganalisis konsumsi dan intensitas energi, serta faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi intensitas energi di Indonesia baik secara agregat (nasional) maupun sektoral. Indeks Ideal Fisher digunakan untuk mendekomposisi perubahan intensitas energi (efisiensi dan perubahan aktivitas ekonomi). Analisis Vector Autoregressive (VAR) atau Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) digunakan untuk menganalisis pengaruh variabel-variabel ekonomi terhadap intensitas energi. Studi ini menunjukkan bahwa intensitas energi di Indonesia meningkat selama periode 1977-2010. Faktor utama yang memengaruhi intensitas energi di tingkat nasional adalah perubahan aktivitas ekonomi, sedangkan di tingkat sektoral adalah efek efisiensi.

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