Abstract
This research empirically examines whether a country's anti dumping policy can distort export of another country to third markets. This research tries to explore about trade deflection of Indonesia's export on Synthetic Staple Fibre Polyester (PSF) HS 550320 to non-European Union as the result of European Union's (EU) anti dumping policy on Indonesia. This research uses panel data model (fixed effects) and 20 countries (non-European Union) of Indonesia's PSF export during ten years (1996-2005). We find evidence that trade deflection for Indonesia's export on Synthetic Staple Fibre Polyester (PSF) HS 550320 occurred. Because of European Union had imposed anti dumping duty on Indonesia, Indonesia's export to non European Union had increased ranged from 25 percent to 44 percent. This result shows that anti dumping duty from European Union does not fully carry out negative effect for Indonesia, furthermore this phenomena can be used as "early warning" for Indonesia both for case of Indonesia as exporting country or third countries.
References
Asosiasi Pertekstilan Indonesia. (2004). Industri dan Perdagangan Tekstil dan Produk Tekstil di Indonesia.
Belke, A. (2005). Degree of Openness and the Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes-a Re-Evaluation with Value Added Based Openness Measures. Hohenheim University.
Blanchard, 0. (2006). Macroeconomics (4th Edition ed.). New Jersey: Pearson, Prentice Hall.
Bown, C. P. (2007). Global Anti Dumping Database Version 3.0. Department of Economics and International Business School, Brandies University.
Bown, C. P., & Crowley, M. A. (2006). Policy Externalities: How US Anti Dumping Effects Japanese Exporters to the EU. European Journal, 696-714.
Bown, C. P., & Crowley, M. A. (2007). Trade Deflection and Trade Depression . European Journal, 176-201.
Departemen Perdagangan. (2007). Tumbuh Berkelanjutan Target Pertumbuhan Ekspor NonMigas Tahun 2007. Departemen Perdagangan.
Direktorat Pengamanan Perdagangan Direktorat Jenderal Kerjasama Perdagangan Internasional. (2007). Perkembangan Kasus Tuduhan Dumping, Subsidi dan Safeguard 1996-2007. Jakarta: Departemen Perdagangan.
Houthakker, H. S., & Magee, S. P. (1969). Income and Price Elasticities in World Trade. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 51 (2).
Kennedy, P. E. (1981). Estimation with Correctly Interpreted Dummy Variables in Semilogarithmic Equations. The American Economic Review, 71 (4), 801.
Krugman, P. R., & Obstefeld, M. (2006). International Economics, Theory and Policy (7th Edition). USA: Pearson.
Magazine Industri. (n.d.). Industri TPT di Persimpangan Jalan. Retrieved Juni 25, 2008, from http://www.magazine_industri.com
Mankiw, G. N. (2003a). Pengantar Ekonomi Jilid 1 (2nd ed.). Jakarta: Erlangga.
Mankiw, G. N. (2003b). Pengantar Ekonomi Jilid 2 (2nd ed.). Jakarta: Erlangga.
Mankiw, G. N. (2003c). Teori Makroekonomi (5th ed.). Jakarta: Erlangga.
Marquez, J. (1990). Bilateral Trade Elasticities. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 72 (1), 70- 77.
Nachrowi, N. D., & Usman, H. (2006). Pendekatan Populer dan Praktis Ekonometrika untuk Analisis Ekonomi dan Keuangan. Jakarta: Lembaga Penerbit Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia.
Suly, R. S. (2007). Analisis Pengaruh Harga Relatif Produk Domestik Bruto dan Nilai Tukar terhadap Volume Ekspor Tekstil dan Produk Tekstil Indonesia ke Amerika Serikat. Program Studi Ilmu Ekonomi Program Pascasarjana FEUI.
Recommended Citation
Rukmini, Wara Agustina and Irawan, Ferry
(2009)
"Kebijakan Anti Dumping dan Trade Deflection: Studi Kasus Synthetic Staple Fibre Polyester (PSF),"
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia: Vol. 10:
No.
1, Article 3.
DOI: 10.7454/jepi.v10i1.2201
pp.35-52
Available at:
https://scholarhub.ui.ac.id/jepi/vol10/iss1/3
