Abstract
There are numerous factors that might affect social restrictions regulation on the reduction of the number of Covid-19 cases in 27 cities and districts in West Java Province. This study aims to identify the effect of social restrictions and economic variables on Covid-19 pandemic in West Java Province. The investigation uses several data sourced from the Covid-19 Information & Coordination Center of West Java Province, and the Central Bureau of Statistics in West Java Province. The dependent variable in this study is the average increase in daily Covid-19 cases. Meanwhile, the independent variable in this study are dummy of social restrictions, population density, per capita GRDP, education level, mobility level, unemployment rate, number of health workers, percentage of the poor population, and life expectancy. All the information gathered in the period between March 2, 2020 and March 2, 2021, which consists of 17 periods based on the Decree of the Governor of West Java. A panel data analysis with the Feasible Generalized Least Square (FGLS) approach is applied using Stata MP-64 software. The results show that social restrictions, population density, unemployment rate, and the number of health workers have a positive and significant effect against the reduction of the Covid-19 cases in West Java Province. Per capita GRDP shows a positive effect against the reduction of the Covid-19 cases, however it is not significant. Level of education, level of mobility, percentage of the poor population, and life expectancy have a negative and significant effect against the reduction of the Covid-19 cases in West Java Province. Therefore, social restrictions are the right policies to reduce the Covid-19 pandemic in West Java Province.
Bahasa Abstract
Ada banyak faktor yang dapat mempengaruhi pembatasan sosial terhadap penurunan jumlah kasus Covid-19 di 27 Kota dan Kabupaten di Provinsi Jawa Barat. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh dari pembatasan sosial dan variabel ekonomi terhadap pandemi Covid-19 di Provinsi Jawa Barat. Penelitian ini menggunakan beberapa data yang bersumber dari Pusat Informasi & Koordinasi Covid-19 Provinsi Jawa Barat, dan Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Jawa Barat. Variabel terikat pada penelitian ini adalah rata-rata penambahan kasus harian Covid-19. Sedangkan, variabel bebas pada penelitian ini adalah dummy pembatasan sosial, kepadatan penduduk, PDRB per kapita, tingkat pendidikan, tingkat mobilitas, tingkat pengangguran, jumlah tenaga kesehatan, persentase penduduk miskin, dan angka harapan hidup. Semua data tersebut dikumpulkan dalam periode antara 2 Maret 2020 hingga 2 Maret 2021 yang terdiri dari 17 periode berdasarkan Surat Keputusan Gubernur Jawa Barat. Analisis data panel dengan pendekatan Feasible Generalized Least Square (FGLS) diterapkan dengan menggunakan perangkat lunak Stata MP 64. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pembatasan sosial, kepadatan penduduk, tingkat pengangguran, dan jumlah tenaga kesehatan berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap penurunan kasus Covid-19 di Provinsi Jawa Barat. PDRB per kapita berpengaruh positif terhadap penurunan kasus Covid-19, namun tidak signifikan. Tingkat pendidikan, tingkat mobilitas, persentase penduduk miskin, dan angka harapan hidup berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap penurunan kasus Covid-19 di Provinsi Jawa Barat. Oleh karena itu, pembatasan sosial merupakan kebijakan yang tepat guna menurunkan pandemi Covid-19 di Provinsi Jawa Barat.
Recommended Citation
Aperdanaste, Jordi; Hasanah, Alfiah; and Siregar, Adiatma Y. M.
(2021)
"Pengaruh Pembatasan Sosial dan Variabel Ekonomi Terhadap Prevalensi Pandemi Covid-19 di Provinsi Jawa Barat,"
Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia: Vol. 6:
No.
2, Article 3.
DOI: 10.7454/eki.v6i2.5218
Available at:
https://scholarhub.ui.ac.id/eki/vol6/iss2/3