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Abstract

High crime rates in rural areas indicate development inequality and low welfare. The government initiated the Padat Karya Tunai Desa Program (Cash-for-Work) to improve welfare by providing employment. Using the Difference-in-Difference method with 2018 and 2021 PODES data from 7,721 villages in East Java, this study analyzes the impact of the PKTD Program and socio-economic factors on crime using three measures: total crime types, theft, and violence. Results show that the Cash-for-Work program does not reduce total crime types and violence, but has the potential to reduce theft. The number of poor-family increases crime, while the number of micro-industries reduces crime.

Bahasa Abstract

Tingginya kriminalitas diwilayah pedesaan mengindikasikan ketimpangan pembangunan dan rendahnya kesejahteraan. Pemerintah menginisiasi Program Padat Karya Tunai Desa (Cash-for-Work) bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesejahteraan melalui penyediaan lapangan kerja. Melalui metode Difference-in-Difference dengan data PODES 2018 dan 2021 pada 7.721 desa di Jawa Timur, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak Program PKTD dan faktor sosial-ekonomi terhadap kriminalitas dengan tiga pengukuran berbeda, yakni total jenis kriminalitas, pencurian, dan kekerasan. Hasil menunjukkan PKTD tidak berdampak pada penurunan total jenis kriminalitas dan kekerasan, namun berpotensi mengurangi pencurian. Jumlah keluarga miskin berdampak terhadap peningkatan kriminalitas, sementara jumlah industri mikro berdampak menurunkan kriminalitas.

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